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Drop back in trip the key to Threat in Darley July Cup

10 Jul 2020

The good races just keep on coming and I can’t wait to get back on Threat in the Darley July Cup at Newmarket on Saturday. It’s a race that has traditionally been a happy place for horses that have tried a mile dropping back in trip, like Dream Ahead back in 2011 who won this on the back of a fifth-placed finish in the St James’s Palace Stakes.

Threat will be trying to emulate him having finished in the same spot in the same race last time out, he certainly felt like a sprinter that day. He was a touch keen early on but he travelled well and then found little when I asked him for his effort.

So he has the profile. He clearly didn’t stay at Ascot, he’s not ground dependent and he has a nice draw in four, particularly with the favourite Golden Horde in six. Hopefully I’ll get a nice tow into the race and he runs a big one, I can’t see any reason why he won’t.

He was a very good winner of the Gimcrack last year and he’s a very straightforward horse. The opposition is strong and it looks an up to standard renewal. Golden Horde was very impressive at Royal Ascot, Sceptical was only just run out of it by Hello Youmzain, who was a game winner, in the Diamond Jubilee and Khaadem hasn’t quite delivered as yet but has promise.

But my horse has untapped potential at this trip. He has the 6lb weight-for-age allowance and we know from his juvenile days that he has a touch of class. He wasn’t beaten far by Golden Horde in the Richmond and hopefully he can put it up to him again.

Saturday’s Other Rides:

Medal Winner – 12.10 Newmarket
He doesn’t want the ground too soft. He ran well at Ascot considering how slow it was and I’d imagine he’ll be one of the favourites after bolting up the time before. I respect Yuri Gagarin, John Gosden does well with this type of horse and Sea The Moon is a very good sire.

Stunning Beauty – 1.15 Newmarket
I’ve not sat on her but I’ve heard she’s been going nicely at home. Most of Saeed’s improve for a run so we’ll see where she is, she’s not the only one in this race with a fancy pedigree, so it looks a hot maiden and we’ll learn plenty.

Bright Devil – 3.00 Newmarket
He’s been training really well since Royal Ascot. He’s obviously a tall horse and still a touch weak, but I really like him and I think you can write off that Ascot run. He’s much better than that. Hopefully he can get out and use his stride as he’s going to stay well, his dam stayed 1m6f. This is a good race on paper as you would expect but this is a serious horse and he shouldn’t be underestimated.

Sir Busker – 4.10 Newmarket
He’s not ground dependent and won really well at Ascot. He’s your typical hold-up horse and if they go hard enough he’ll be able to pick them off. There’s no doubt he’s an improving horse, the worry is that Newmarket is not the ideal track to pull off his preferred tactics, even in the Bunbury Cup.